Showing posts with label Luxembourg. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Luxembourg. Show all posts

Wednesday, 12 November 2014

Juncker and the Luxembourg Tax Scandal



Last week it came to light that there were serious tax avoidance practices in Luxembourg that allowed companies to funnel profits through the Grand Duchy in order to avoid paying tax in the countries the profits were generated.  After avoiding commenting on the scandal for a week the “cool” Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker has denied that he was involved in anything illegal in Luxembourg, and says that everything was done in “compliance with national legislation and international rules that apply in this matter”.

The new Commission President was prime minister of Luxembourg for 19 years (as well as finance minister for most of that time), so the denial is hardly going to silence his critics. Juncker himself said that he was politically responsible for what happened throughout Luxembourg during his time in office. In an extraordinary debate on tax avoidance in the European Parliament, Juncker admitted that “there probably was a certain amount of tax avoidance in Luxembourg, as in other EU countries. We find this everywhere in Europe because there is insufficient tax harmonisation in Europe”.

The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists is releasing 548 “comfort letters” (effectively private tax rulings that clarify for specific companies on how their corporate tax will be calculated) between 2002 and 2010 which Luxembourg provided to corporations for favourable tax treatment. The investigation that Juncker’s own Competition Commissioner Vestager will be looking into is whether or not Luxembourg’s support for these corporations through the tax system amounts to illegal state aid (earlier in October the previous Commission launched an investigation into the taxation of Amazon in Luxembourg). In the case of the FedEx Corp, the ICIJ found that Luxembourg agreed to tax only 0.25% of FedEx’s non-dividend income that flowed through the country through its tax arrangements.

There are two aspects to this: whether comfort letters for specific companies constitute illegal state aid (and the extent to which Luxembourg was using these), and the extent to which there is legal tax avoidance through tax competition. Europe has gone through years of austerity and it is politically poisonous to have tax avoidance at such levels where companies are only paying 0.25% corporation tax through certain Luxembourgish tax arrangements. If illegal state aid is found, then it will dramatically increase the pressure on Juncker.  If no illegal state aid is found then there could still be significant political damage – “how could such practices be allowed to continue?” would be the question in most Europeans’ minds.

In the European Parliament Guy Verhofstadt, leader of the Liberals, proposed setting up a special investigative committee into tax evasion by the Parliament, saying “This is also a clear case where we need more Europe – to set up common tax compliance legislation and a convergence code not general harmonisation, because we don't know at what level to harmonise.” Such an investigation would require the backing of the Economic and Monetary Affairs committee and would probably look into the various ways companies limit their tax bills. Juncker wouldn’t have any say in such an investigation as it would be purely run by the Parliament.

This scandal is so toxic because it has a highly political idea of tax fairness at the heart of it. Juncker will probably be able to hang on in office if there are no or only limited infringements on state aid rules, but the first political Commission would be politically stunned if it could not properly address the tax avoidance issue. The Commission President has already stated that Commissioner Moscovici will “initiate proposals for an automatic exchange of information regarding national tax rulings”, but Junker, and the Commission, needs to go further.

Tax is a sensitive issue, and it would be difficult to bring Member States along with even mild proposals on tax systems, but Juncker needs to display political initiative by pushing forward on tax transparency and by articulating a position on corporate taxation in the EU. Juncker's political Commission could very easily be undone by politics and his own record as Luxembourg's premier - if he's to survive, Juncker has to show that his Commission can take a political lead that will address citizens' concerns on tax fairness.

Sunday, 25 May 2014

European Elections 2014: Super Sunday Vote Part III

We're on our final stretch of our tour round the voting Member States today.

Sweden:

Sweden is currently governed from the centre-right, with the Moderate Party leading the government. With national elections coming up in September, there have been worries that the far-right (Swedish Democrats) and far-left (Left Party) stand to gain votes and seats, and the European elections is being seen as a dry-run for the national elections.

Current Polls:

Social Democratic Worker's Party (PES): 30%
Centre Party (ALDE): 4%
Liberal Party (ALDE): 9%
Environment Party (Greens): 12%
Swedish Democrats (NI): 7%
Christian Democrats (EPP): 4%
Left Party (UEL): 7%
Moderate Party (EPP): 20%


Slovenia:

Slovenia is a Eurozone country that has fallen into economic difficulties and there have been concerns that it may need to be bailed out - it has had to recapitalise its banks with €3 billion. The centre-right parties look like they are set to win the election in a landslide, so Slovenia can be counted as being firmly in the EPP bracket of parliamentary arithmetic.

Current Polls:

Democratic Party (EPP): 27%
Social Democrats (PES): 9%
Christian People's Party (EPP): 21%
Positive Slovenia (ALDE): 5.5%
Liberal Democrats (ALDE): 7%
Democratic Party of Pensioners (NI): 4.6%
Slovenian National Party (NI): 4%
List Verjamem (NI): 12%
United Left (UEL): 4%


Cyprus:

Cyprus is one of the latest countries to be hit by the Eurocrisis, and the first country to have a "bail-in", with depositors hit by the losses of the banks. The Democratic Rally (EPP) won the presidential elections in February 2013 (the post was previously held by the communist Progressive Party of Working People [AKEL]), and they are currently leading in the polls by a wide margin.

Current Polls:

Democratic Rally (EPP): 38%
AKEL (UEL): 24%
Democratic Party (PES): 12%
Citizen's Alliance Party (NI): 7%
Movement for Social Democracy (PES): 9%


Lithuania:

The Social Democratic Party has led the government since the general election in 2012, and the Lithuanian government ran the Council presidency in the second half of 2013. Lithuania's most recognisable politician is probably its independent president, Dalia Grybauskaité, who has been dubbed the Iron Lady. The Social Democrats are on course for a convincing win judging by the polls on PollWatch 2014.

Current Polls:

Social Democratic Party (PES): 38%
Homeland Party (EPP): 10%
Labour Party (ALDE): 11%
Liberal Movement (ALDE): 9%
Order and Justice (EFD): 14%
Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania (AECR): 5%
Peasants and Greens (NI): 5%


Estonia:

Estonia is a small Eurozone country of about 1.3 million, but it has 6 main parties in its parliament. An independent aligned with the Greens is running and is predicted to win a seat. It looks like the Liberal ALDE group will win half the seats in Estonia.

Current Poll:

Centre Party (ALDE): 20%
Reform Party (ALDE): 18%
Res Publica (EPP): 17%
Social Democratic Party (PES): 18%
Indrek Tarand (Independent/Greens): 14%


Finland:

Finland is another stronghold for the Liberals (along with Estonia and the Netherlands). However, the EPP and the far-right True Finns are expected to do well in these elections. The True Finns (or the Finns Party) have increased their profile through the opposition to bail outs within the Eurozone. Finland, along with The Netherlands and Germany, tend to take a hard pro-austerity line as a trade-off for bail-outs.

Current Polls:

National Coalition Party (EPP): 23%
True Finns (EFD): 21%
Centre Party (ALDE): 14%
Social Democratic Party (PES): 13%
Green League (Greens): 11%
Left Alliance (UEL): 8%
Swedish People's Party (ALDE): 4%
Christian Democrats (EPP): 3.5%


Luxembourg:

One of the smallest Member States, but its former Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker is heading the EPP campaign as the candidate for the Commission Presidency. Juncker lost the general election in 2013, where the Christian Social People's Party were the biggest party, but the opposition parties won enough seats to form a coalition and oust the government.

Current Polls:

Christian Social People's Party (EPP): 34%
Luxembourg Socialist Worker's Party (PES): 20%
Democratic Party (ALDE): 18%
Greens: 10%
Alternative Democratic Reform Party (NI): 7%
The Left (UEL): 5%